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Wed, December 3, 2025

G-255 Canadian Banks Earnings Summary with Trading Indicators for December 25, 2025

  • Asset and deposit growth remains solid across all three reporting banks.

  • Net interest income continues to hold up well despite the lower rate environment.

  • Loan growth is modest, exactly as expected in a maturing cycle.

  • Non-interest income growth is still strong.

  • Notably, three of the Big-6 are actively adding leverage while still sitting on CET1 ratios comfortably above 13%.

Translation: Excess capital + rising payouts = more dividend increases and accelerated share buybacks ahead.

Valuation snapshot

  • Canadian bank equities are trading at the top of their historical valuation range → very few attractive equity long/short signals.

  • Canadian bank USD bonds (and CAD bonds) remain squarely in the middle of their multi-year trading ranges → similarly quiet on the credit side.

Bottom line: No compelling new G-255 equity or credit indicators triggered by the three banks that have reported 4Q results so far. The sector is expensive on equity, fairly priced on credit, and busy returning capital.

Bank of Nova Scotia

Royal Bank of Canada

National Bank of Canada

Disclaimer - This report is not intended as, and does not constitute an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. All data, levels, opinions, and representations herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The authors of this report assume no liability for losses or damages arising from the use of this information. Investors should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information in this report is based on sources believed to be reliable, but no guarantee is made as to its accuracy, completeness, or timeliness.